|
MEXICO CITY - Not a day goes by in Mexico without a corpse turning up
-- sometimes beheaded -- as a casualty of the drug war. The government
has called out the army to regain control, but officers complain that
drug traffickers have superior firepower.
On the U.S. border,
authorities in Arizona and other states are no longer surprised to
discover tunnels where drug smugglers transport their product northward
from Mexico.
Unable to contain a crisis that transcends the
border, the U.S. and Mexico are quietly negotiating an unprecedented
anti-drug assistance package that probably would provide hundreds of
millions of dollars in technology, training and equipment to Mexico,
according to U.S. officials who have met with their Mexican
counterparts in recent weeks.The aid package will be a top item on the agenda when President Bush
meets with Mexican President Felipe Calderon at a North American summit
in Quebec this month, State Department officials said. A few details
have emerged in recent weeks, but negotiations have been shrouded
because of the subject's sensitivity on both sides of the border.
The Bush administration is likely to face tough questions on Capitol
Hill from lawmakers who fear a repeat of Plan Colombia, a
multibillion-dollar aid package aimed at battling cartels in that South
American nation but criticized as ineffective.
Calderon,
meanwhile, will have to sell the aid package to Mexican citizens, who
are usually suspicious of U.S. intervention in their domestic affairs.
But there is a sense that both countries need a new approach as the
flow of cocaine and other drugs keeps heading north. And U.S. officials
say they have gained more trust in the Mexican government, even as it
struggles to confront a wave of drug-related violence that has already
claimed nearly 1,500 lives this year.
U.S. Rep. Henry Cuellar
(D-Texas), one of the lawmakers working to craft the package with
Mexican officials, said Calderon is at a critical point in a fight that
affects both countries. "If we don't provide him that help, there is
this window of opportunity that is going to close. Here we are at that
window," Cuellar said.
'Pincer' strategy
The
anti-drug package would be the largest since the controversial Plan
Colombia, which has allocated more than $5 billion since 2000 to
eradicate cocaine and heroin crops and to battle armed rebel groups.
Cuellar said the package for Mexico could include a range of components
from surveillance equipment to aircraft.
Luis Astorga, an
analyst at the National Autonomous University of Mexico, said he thinks
the U.S. is trying to create a "pincer" action by establishing a
presence in both Colombia and Mexico, the jumping-off point for 90
percent of cocaine and the largest share of marijuana that enters the
U.S.
State Department officials also traveled to Guatemala last
month to push for creation of a regional center for coordinating
counternarcotics efforts in Central America, a key corridor for
transporting drugs in small planes and speedboats from South America to
the U.S.
Ana Maria Salazar, a security analyst in Mexico and
one of the architects of Plan Colombia in the Clinton administration,
said it isn't fair to compare a Mexico package with Colombia's, where
most of the aid went to a military fighting a decades-old guerrilla
movement.
Salazar said she expects most of the Mexico package
to center on training, intelligence sharing and surveillance equipment,
not on expensive vehicles such as helicopters because of the logistical
difficulties of deciding which country should control them.
Despite the differences, Salazar said, the controversy behind Plan
Colombia might hamper efforts to sell the package on Capitol Hill.
"Clearly, Plan Colombia will be popping up a lot in the discussions,"
she said.
Experts say the plan will almost certainly include
cooperation between the armed forces in both countries. That is because
Calderon has made the military the linchpin of his strategy,
dispatching about 25,000 troops nationwide.
Astorga said that
makes some comparisons with Plan Colombia valid, including concerns
about the Mexican military violating human rights that mirror
allegations against their Colombian counterparts.
Likewise,
Astorga said, the U.S. needs to learn one lesson of Plan Colombia, that
when authorities cracked down there, drug production spread to other
South American nations.
"If you push down in Mexico, it will
just go to Central America or elsewhere," he said. "What is certain is
that this problem will not go away with a Plan Mexico."
No deal until it's finalThe U.S. already cooperates closely with Mexico on counternarcotics,
having trained about 4,500 law-enforcement officers in 2006, including
specialized instruction on how to detect clandestine meth laboratories.
While interested in expanding those efforts, a Calderon administration
official said the government has been adamant that it would not accept
a version of Plan Colombia. But Mexican officials have declined to
comment on exactly what the two countries are considering.
"We
have been very careful with this. We know that there is no deal until
there is a final deal," one Mexican administration official said
Wednesday.Likewise, U.S. officials have kept discussions close to the vest.
Officials have praised Calderon's tough approach, including the
historic extradition to the U.S. of 15 drug lords and other criminals
in one day in January. Previously, U.S. officials hesitated even to
share intelligence with their Mexican counterparts because of concerns
that drug traffickers had infiltrated law enforcement.
"Inasmuch as it is a problem for both countries, the solution lies both
with the United States and Mexico," State Department spokesman Sean
McCormack said Wednesday. "President Calderon has taken a brave and
firm stance in fighting these drug cartels. We want to talk to him
about how we can support that effort."
Alejandro Landero, a
congressman from Calderon's National Action Party who has met with U.S.
officials to discuss anti-drug assistance, said he thinks Calderon's
tough stand has created the confidence to take the next step forward
with an aid package.
Landero said the Mexican public should not
worry about an infusion of U.S. soldiers into Mexico. He said Calderon
would not accept that, fearing a backlash from Mexicans who resent U.S.
meddling, dating back to a war fought in the 1840s when the U.S. won
Mexican territory.
Still, Landero said nationalism must take a back seat to the need to restore security.
"We need to educate people that weapons and drugs are a transnational
problem," he said. "It is indispensable that our two countries work
together in the most integrated way possible to defeat this threat to
society."
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-mexico_avila_silvaaug09,1,2874877.story
|