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WASHINGTON — The CIA is conducting a secretive
war game, dubbed "Silent Horizon," this week to practice defending
against an electronic assault on the same scale as the Sept. 11
terrorism attacks.
The three-day exercise, ending Thursday, was
meant to test the ability of government and industry to respond to
escalating Internet disruptions over many months, according to
participants. They spoke on condition of anonymity because the CIA
asked them not to disclose details of the sensitive exercise taking
place in Charlottesville, Va., about two hours southwest of Washington.
The simulated attacks were carried out five
years in the future by a fictional alliance of anti-American
organizations, including anti-globalization hackers. The most serious
damage was expected to be inflicted in the war game's closing hours.
The national security simulation was significant
because its premise — a devastating cyberattack that affects government
and parts of the economy with the same magnitude as the Sept. 11, 2001,
suicide hijackings — contravenes assurances by U.S. counterterrorism
experts that such far-reaching effects from a cyberattack are highly
unlikely. Previous government simulations have modeled damage from
cyberattacks more narrowly.
"You hear less and less about the digital Pearl
Harbor," said Dennis McGrath, who helped run three similar war games
for the Institute for Security Technology Studies at Dartmouth College.
"What people call cyberterrorism, it's just not at the top of the list."
The CIA's little-known Information Operations
Center, which evaluates threats to U.S. computer systems from foreign
governments, criminal organizations and hackers, was running the war
game. About 75 people, mostly from the CIA, gathered in conference
rooms and reacted to signs of mock computer attacks.
The government remains most concerned about
terrorists using explosions, radiation and biological threats.
FBI
Director Robert Mueller warned earlier this year that terrorists
increasingly are recruiting computer scientists but said most hackers
"do not have the resources or motivation to attack the U.S. critical
information infrastructures."
The government's most recent intelligence
assessment of future threats through the year 2020 said cyberattacks
are expected,
but terrorists "will continue to primarily employ
conventional weapons."
Authorities have expressed concerns about
terrorists combining physical attacks, such as bombings, with hacker
attacks to disrupt communications or rescue efforts.
"One of the things the intelligence community
was accused of was a lack of imagination,"
said Dorothy Denning of the
Naval Postgraduate School,
an expert on Internet threats who was
invited by the CIA to participate but declined. "You want to think
about not just what you think may affect you but about scenarios that
might seem unlikely."
"Livewire," an earlier cyberterrorism exercise
for the Homeland Security Department and other federal agencies,
concluded there were serious questions about government's role during a
cyberattack, depending on who was identified as the culprit —
terrorists, a foreign government or bored teenagers.
It also questioned whether the U.S. government
would be able to detect the early stages of such an attack without
significant help from private technology companies.
http://www.usatoday.com/tech/news/techpolicy/2005-05-26-cia-wargames_x.htm
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